公路隧道围岩变形预测方法研究及应用

 贺维庚

(陕西高速公路工程咨询有限公司,陕西 西安  710061

  本文运用灰色预测模型中的GM(1,1)、残差模型和新陈代谢模型与现有的实测数据进行对比分析,选取新陈代谢模型作为隧道的预测模型,并对实际工程进行预警,取得了良好的效果。

关键词灰色系统新陈代谢模型围岩变形预测

中图分类号U456          文献标识码A

The Application and Research on Deformation Prediction

 Theory of Surrounding Rock in Highway Tunnel

HE Wei-geng

Shaanxi Expressway Engineering Consulting Co. Ltd.Xi'an 710061China

Abstract: By contrasting GM11of gray forecast modelresidual error model and information renewal model with tested datainformation renewal model was chosen as the prediction modelused in the warning of actual engineering and achieved good effect.

Keys wordsconvergence-constraint theoryinformation renewal modeldeformation prediction of surround-

ding rock